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Optionetics Market Commentary

Examining Automated Systems Trading


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Jeff Neal, Optionetics.com
May 12, 2008

Trading systems help foster trader discipline, and automated systems offer additional advantages. The speed and efficiency with which a computer identifies patterns and generates signals is one obvious advantage. Computers can quickly achieve the number crunching necessary to recognize trading signals. Computer systems offer direction and suggestions about what to do in a given market and help limit the range of choices. This makes the trader''s task less daunting because the possibilities and opportunities become more clearly identified.

Trading systems approach the market consistently and objectively. Programs are designed logically. Rules are uniformly applied to defined market conditions. Trading systems are effective since rules are not the victims of trader judgment. The whimsical nature of a trader is diminished by a system.

The emotional aspect of trading can be significantly reduced as well since systems are void of emotion and judgment. Unfortunately, the emotional tendency of a trader is to outguess the system, even when it''s producing profitable trades. If a trader can discipline themselves to follow a system, with rigor, emotions will not rule the decision-making process. Trading systems are designed to think, not to feel.

One of the more common arguments against trading systems is that they can become popular enough to influence the underlying price. The concern is that the similarity of computer-based systems used to manage large positions may cause large traders to respond in the same way at the same time, thereby causing distortion in the markets.

Another argument against the use of trading systems is they define market behavior in limited ways when the market can; in fact, behave in an infinite number of ways. It is believed that because systems are mathematically or mechanically defined, this reduces relationships of events to percentage odds of what could happen next. While the criticism is valid in that systems do capture a very limited number of possibilities, this characteristic is also what makes systems useful. The ability to reduce information to observable patterns gives the trader some semblance of order and direction. Without this, many traders feel overwhelmed and directionless.

Trading systems give the trader a way to interpret, quantify, and classify market behavior. Since trading systems define potential opportunity and provide specific trading signals, following these signals can facilitate the development of trading skills, as well as the discipline.

Automated trading systems have expanded the scope of traders. Systems can now be thoroughly back-tested and perfected using the computer to test many if-then scenarios. Trading systems offer a way to define and categorize market behavior by reducing information to patterns and generating trading signals. While systems are without emotion, traders are not and often try to outguess a system. Misuse and lack of discipline are major causes of losses in trading systems. Automated trading systems can go a long way toward addressing these problems for the trader.

Jeff Neal  
Senior Writer, Options Strategist & Profit Strategies Radio Show Market Correspondent
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